We study the posterior contraction behavior of the latent population structure that arises in admixture models as the amount of data increases. We adopt the geometric view of admixture models - alternatively known as topic models - as a data generating mechanism for points randomly sampled from the interior of a (convex) population polytope, whose extreme points correspond to the population structure variables of interest. Rates of posterior contraction are established with respect to Hausdorff metric and a minimum matching Euclidean metric defined on polytopes. Tools developed include posterior asymptotics of hierarchical models and arguments from convex geometry.
- Pub Date:
- May 2012
- Mathematics - Statistics Theory;
- Computer Science - Machine Learning
- Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.3150/13-BEJ582 in the Bernoulli (http://isi.cbs.nl/bernoulli/) by the International Statistical Institute/Bernoulli Society (http://isi.cbs.nl/BS/bshome.htm)