Drainage Asperities on Subduction Megathrusts

Geophysical observations coupled with force-balance analyses suggest that the seismogenic shear zone interface of subduction megathrusts is generally fluid-overpressured to near-lithostatic values (λ_v = P_f/σ_v > 0.9) below the forearc hanging-wall, strongly modulating the profile of frictional shear resistance. Fluid sources include the accretionary prism at shallow levels and, with increasing depth, metamorphic dehydration of material entrained within the subduction shear zone together with progressive metamorphism of oceanic crust in the downgoing slab. Solution transfer in fine-grained material contained within the deeper subduction shear zone (150 < T < 350°C) likely contributes to hydrothermal sealing of fractures. A dramatic difference may therefore exist between low prefailure permeability surrounding the megathrust and high postfailure fracture permeability along the rupture zone and adjacent areas of aftershock activity. Observed postseismic changes in the velocity structure of the fore-arc hanging-wall led Husen and Kissling (2001) to propose massive fluid loss across the subduction interface following the 1995 Antofagasta, Chile, M_w8.0 megathrust rupture. Such trans-megathrust discharges represent a variant of 'fault-valve' action in which the subduction interface itself acts as a seal trapping overpressured fluids derived from metamorphic dehydration beneath. In low-permeability assemblages the maximum sustainable overpressure is limited by the activation or reactivation of brittle faults and fractures under the prevailing stress state. Highest overpressures tend to occur at low differential stress in compressional stress regimes. Loci for fluid discharge are likely determined by stress heterogeneities along the megathrust (e.g. the hangingwall of the rupture at its downdip termination). Discharge sites may be defined by swarm aftershocks defining activated fault-fracture meshes. However, fluid loss across a subduction interface will be enhanced when the stress-state in the forearc hanging-wall switches from compressional reverse-slip faulting before failure to extensional normal-slip faulting postfailure, as occurred during the 2011 M_w9.0 Tohoku megathrust rupture. Mean stress and fault-normal stress then change from being greater than vertical stress prefailure, to less than vertical stress postfailure. Postfailure reductions in overpressure are expected from a combination of poroelastic effects and fluid loss through fault-fracture networks, enhancing vertical permeability. Mineralised fault-fracture meshes in exhumed fore-arc assemblages (e.g. the Alaska-Juneau Au-quartz vein swarm) testify to the episodic discharge of substantial volumes of hydrothermal fluid (< tens of km³). Localized drainage from the subduction interface shear zone increases frictional strength significantly, giving rise to a postfailure strength asperities. Anticipated strength increases from such fluid discharge depends on the magnitude of the drop in overpressure but are potentially large (< hundreds of MPa). Time to the subsequent failure is then governed by reaccumulation of fluid overpressure as well as shear stress along the subduction interface.