Climatic and Hydrologic Modeling in the Yellow River Basin in China Dr. Shourong Wang wangsr@cma.gov.cn China Meteorological Administration No.46, Zhongguancun Nandajie, Haidian District, Beijing 100081, China Dr. Ruby LEUNG, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, Washington 99352, USA
Abstract
In order to enhance climatic and hydrologic prediction and assessment ability in the Yellow River Basin, the climatic and hydrologic modeling system is developed based on a joint international research. The system includes three sub-modeling systems, the seasonal climatic modeling system, the climate change modeling system, and the hydrologic modeling system. The seasonal climatic modeling system is composed of a regional climate model WRF3.3.1 developed by PNNL in 2011, with domain cover whole China and surrounding areas and horizontal resolution of 30 km, the Global general circulation models (GCMs) developed by China National Climate Center (NCC), providing lateral boundary conditions to WRF3.3.1, and both dynamic and statistic downscaling tools for providing detail modeling results in the Yellow River Basin. The climate change modeling system is composed of a regional climate model RegCM4.0 modified by NCC, with domain and horizontal resolution similar to WRF3.3.1, four GCMs MIROC3.2, ECHAM5, HadCM3 and NCC-CSM1.1, providing lateral boundary conditions to RegCM4.0, respectively, for comparing the nest modeling results, and also the downscaling tools. The hydrologic modeling system is composed of a large scale semi-distributed hydrologic mode VIC(Variable Infiltration Capacity) modified by PNNL, with domain cover whole Yellow River Basin and horizontal resolution of 50 km, and a distributed hydrologic mode DHSVM3.0 (Distributed Hydrology-Soil-vegetation Mode) also modified by PNNL, with domain cover the headstream of Yellow River Basin and horizontal resolution of 0.5 km. Both VIC and DHSVM3.0 are driven by the outputs of WRF3.3.1 and RegCM4.0, and provide seasonal hydrologic predictions and future hydrologic projections under IPCC AR5 climate change scenarios SRES RCP8.5 and RCP4.5. Now the simulated seasonal climatic and hydrologic results are compared and verified by recorded data sets, and VIC and DHSVM3.0 are running for the future hydrologic simulation driven by climate change modeling outputs.
- Publication:
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AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2012
- Bibcode:
- 2012AGUFM.H21F1230W
- Keywords:
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- 0466 BIOGEOSCIENCES / Modeling;
- 1637 GLOBAL CHANGE / Regional climate change;
- 1719 HISTORY OF GEOPHYSICS / Hydrology