Verification of Ensemble-Based Uncertainty Circles around Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts Dupont, Thierry ; Plu, Matthieu ; Caroff, Philippe ; Faure, Ghislain Abstract Publication: Weather and Forecasting Pub Date: October 2011 DOI: 10.1175/WAF-D-11-00007.1 Bibcode: 2011WtFor..26..664D