Nested Atmospheric Inversion for the Terrestrial Carbon Sources and Sinks in China

In this study, we establish a nested atmospheric inversion system with focus on East Asia using the Bayes theory. The global surface is separated into 39 regions based on the 22 TransCom large regions, with 17 small regions in East Asia. Monthly CO2 concentrations from 238 GlobalView sites are used in this system. The core component of this system is atmospheric transport matrix, which is created by using the TM5 model. The net carbon flux over the 39 global land and ocean regions is inverted for the period from 2001 to 2007. The inverted global terrestrial carbon sinks mainly occur in North American, most Asia, and Europe. Except for east Inner Mongolia and southern China, most areas in China appear to be carbon sinks. From 2001 to 2007, the global terrestrial carbon sink has an increasing trend, with the lowest carbon sink in 2001, which is related to the strong El Nino event in the same year. For the same reason, China also has a lowest carbon sink in 2001. In 2005, the carbon sink in China is very small as well, due to the severe springtime drought in southern and southwest China. The mean global and China terrestrial carbon sinks over the period 2001-2007 are -2.98±1.0 and -0.28±0.28 Gt C yr-1, respectively. The uncertainties in the posterior carbon flux of China are still very large, mostly due to the lack of CO2 measurement data in China. In order to reduce these uncertainties, we plan to include the CONTRAIL data of Japan in this system.