Changes in the Demographic Characteristics of the American Geophysical Union Membership, 2006-2010

Significant change occurred in the demographic properties of the American Geophysical Union membership during the period April 2006- January 2010. During this period AGU membership decreased from 48,332 to 38,847, a drop of 19.6%. Most of the change appears to have been driven by the aging membership of the Union, especially in the United States, and the effects of the global economic crisis on employment in all sectors of economy. Of the 38,847 members in January 2010, data on the birth year and gender were available for 33,610 members including 21,567 who reside in the United States. These data were compared to a similar data set captured in April 2006. The following observations are based on this subset of the total AGU membership for who country of residence and both age and gender are known. The number of AGU members residing in the United States decreased by 18.6% during the study period. As should be expected, the changes were not spread evenly between the genders or across birth-year cohorts. Membership among males decreased by 19%, while there were 17% fewer female members. The female cohorts that experienced the greatest losses were those including women from 30-40 years old (born 1970-1979). These data appear to echo multiple studies that show women leaving the sciences for gender-specific reasons. For the purposes of this analysis, the birth-year cohorts are divided into three groups. Members born prior to 1945 compose the oldest cohort. The Baby-Boom generation includes members born between 1945 and 1964. The youngest group includes members born from 1965 onward. Because of the very small number of women in the oldest group (only 4.7%) most of the change occurred among males. The total membership loss from this group was 1,140 members, 23% of the total. The largest change occurred among Baby Boomers. The group decreased by 2,760 members, accounting for 56% of the total decline in membership among US residents. Males accounted for most of the change (2,208). Even the youngest group of members decreased in size by a total of 1,012 members, 21% of the total loss. The only 5-year cohorts that grew is size were those members born between 1980 and 1989, the youngest included in the sample. Furthermore, for what may well be the first time in the history of the AGU, a cohort (1980-1985) has more females (365) than males (301). The demography of AGU members residing elsewhere differs in three notable ways from that of members with US residency. First, the percentage of female members is considerably smaller (17% of total membership) elsewhere in the world than in the US (23%). The difference is balanced by a larger percentage of young men (49% outside the US versus 35% within) born since 1960. Finally, the Baby Boom that is so prominent in the demography of US residents does not exist elsewhere. The overall shape of the demographic pyramid for non-US residents is characteristic of a growing population. Without a remarkable change, US resident membership in AGU will continue to decrease as the membership ages and the Baby Boom generation moves into retirement.