Carbonate dissolution in mixed waters due to ocean acidification

Much of the anthropogenically released carbon dioxide has been stored as a dissolved gas in the ocean, causing a 0.1 decrease in ocean surface pH, with models predicting that by 2100 the surface ocean pH will be 0.5 below pre-industrial levels. In mixed ocean water - fresh water environments (e.g. estuaries, coastal aquifers, and edges of ice sheets), the decreased ocean pH couples with the mixed water geochemistry to make water more undersaturated with respect to calcium carbonate than ocean acidification alone. Mixed-water calcite dissolution may be one of the first directly observable effects of ocean acidification, as the ocean water and the fresh water can both be saturated with respect to calcium carbonate while their mixture will be undersaturated. We present a basic quantitative model describing mixed water dissolution in coastal or island freshwater aquifers, using temporally changing ocean pH, sea level, precipitation, and groundwater pumping. The model describes the potential for an increased rate of speleogenesis and porosity/permeability development along the lower edge of a fresh water lens aquifer. The model accounts the indirect effects of rising sea level and a growing coastal population on these processes. Applications are to freshwater carbonate aquifers on islands (e.g. the Bahamas) and in coastal areas (e.g. the unconfined Floridan aquifer of the United States, the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico).