Investigating the response of Crane Glacier, Antarctic Peninsula to the disintegration of the Larsen B ice shelf using a 2-D flowline model

Many of the glaciers flowing into the Larsen B ice shelf sped up and experienced front retreat following its March 2002 disintegration. Crane Glacier stands out among the fast responding glaciers for its dramatic increase in speed, from ~500 m/a to ~1500 m/a in its downstream reach, large surface lowering, and front retreat. Between march 2002 and early 2005, the glacier's calving front retreated by about 11.5 km to a location at which it has remained since that time. In order to investigate the physical processes that control the reaction of Crane Glacier to ice shelf disintegration, a flowline model has been developed. The model solves for the full momentum balance along the flowline using the finite element method and allows for basal sliding using a Budd type sliding relation. Model parameters are tuned to reproduce observation of surface velocity prior to ice shelf disintegration. Model can be applied diagnostically to examine instantaneous changes in boundary conditions or prognostically to evolve surface elevation over time. The instantaneous model response of the glacier to ice shelf removal produces surface velocities and thinning rates that agree well with observations. When the front position is modified to represent the steady position reached in 2005, the model again produces velocities similar to those observed on the glacier. A typical tidewater calving criterion can be used to predict the steady position toward which the front retreated. We conclude that the post-collapse speed up is facilitated by rapid basal sliding, which allows a small perturbation in vertical shearing to be amplified into a large velocity response. The pattern of glacier front retreat can be explained by a tidewater calving instability. These conclusions underscore the importance of basal sliding parametrizations in understanding observed changes in ice sheet outlet glaciers and modeling their future behavior. Correct representation of iceberg calving is also important.