Improving the Depth-Time Fit of Holocene Climate Proxy Measures by Increasing Coherence with a Reference Time-Series

An accurate assessment of historical local Holocene data is important in making future climate predictions. Holocene climate is often obtained through proxy measures such as diatoms or pollen using radiocarbon dating. Wiggle Match Dating (WMD) uses an iterative least squares approach to tune a core with a large amount of 14C dates to the 14C calibration curve. This poster will present a new method of tuning a time series with when only a modest number of 14C dates are available. The method presented uses the multitaper spectral estimation, and it specifically makes use of a multitaper spectral coherence tuning technique. Holocene climate reconstructions are often based on a simple depth-time fit such as a linear interpolation, splines, or low order polynomials. Many of these models make use of only a small number of 14C dates, each of which is a point estimate with a significant variance. This technique attempts to tune the 14C dates to a reference series, such as tree rings, varves, or the radiocarbon calibration curve. The amount of 14C in the atmosphere is not constant, and a significant source of variance is solar activity. A decrease in solar activity coincides with an increase in cosmogenic isotope production, and an increase in cosmogenic isotope production coincides with a decrease in temperature. The method presented uses multitaper coherence estimates and adjusts the phase of the time series to line up significant line components with that of the reference series in attempt to obtain a better depth-time fit then the original model. Given recent concerns and demonstrations of the variation in estimated dates from radiocarbon labs, methods to confirm and tune the depth-time fit can aid climate reconstructions by improving and serving to confirm the accuracy of the underlying depth-time fit. Climate reconstructions can then be made on the improved depth-time fit. This poster presents a run though of this process using Chauvin Lake in the Canadian prairies and Mt. Barr Cirque Lake located in British Columbia as examples.