Examining the Influence of Teleconnection Patterns on CO2 Fluxes at an Old-Growth Forest Scaling from Stand to Region Using MODIS

In this study, year-to-year variability in three of the major Pacific teleconnection patterns were examined to determine if CO2 and H2O fluxes at an old-growth forest in the Pacific Northwest were affected by climatic changes associated with these patterns. The three cycles examined are the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Pacific/North American Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. We centered our study on the Wind River Canopy Crane, an AmeriFlux tower located in a 500 year old conifer forest in southern Washington State. CO2 and H2O fluxes have been measured continuously for six years using the eddy covariance method. The objectives of this study are to: 1. determine to what extent teleconnection patterns influence measured CO2 and H2O fluxes through mechanistic anomalies; 2. ascertain if climatic shifts affect annual vegetation canopy characteristics; and 3. make comparisons at the local and regional scales using MODIS. The ecosystem was a significant sink of carbon (-207 gC m-2 year-1) in 1999 but turned into a large carbon source (+ 100 gC m-2 year-1) in 2003. NEE significantly (above the 95th CI) lags the PNA, ENSO and PDO indicating that these patterns affect the forest carbon budget across overlapping time scales. To ascertain the influence of atmospheric patterns on fluxes, we categorized the flux measurement years based on in-phase climate events (1999 = La Niña/cool PDO, 2003 = El Niño/warm PDO, 2000-2002, 2004 = neutral ENSO years). The results of this analysis indicate that the Pacific Ocean/atmospheric oscillation anomalies explain much of variance in annual NEE (R2 = 0.78 between NEE and the PDO, R2 = 0.87 for the PNA, and R2 = 0.56 for ENSO). Teleconnection patterns are found to be associated mostly with air temperature, precipitation, and incoming light radiation (cloudy vs. sunny conditions). Important meteorological driving mechanisms of fluxes include: water- use efficiency (WUE), light-use efficiency (LUE) and canopy structure parameters (e.g., fPAR). Tower-based fPAR was strongly related to NEE (R2 = 0.78) and climatic patterns (R2 = 0.84 with ENSO and R2 = 0.76 with PDO). Variability in fluxes may be a result of changes in the canopy structural characteristics; for example higher, fPAR (e.g., 2003) correlated well with increased respiration fluxes. MODIS data (200 km X 200 km area) were obtained to determine if anomalies in vegetation indices and canopy structure could be linked to teleconnection patterns at the site level and across the region. The MODIS-derived Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) correlated well with yearly cumulative NEE at the tower and regional EVI anomalies were strongly negatively correlated with the annual PDO index (R2 = 0.9). MODIS-derived fPAR product correlated with yearly variability in the PDO (R2 = 0.34) at the site level. Therefore, there is reasonable expectation that structural changes, as a result of climate variability during strongly positive or negative teleconnection patterns, will be observed in other parts of the Pacific Northwest. MODIS data is useful for identifying the effects of teleconnections across a regional scale.