Satellite drag prediction effects on Shuttle mission planning

Long-term factors, along with Shuttle performance limitations, are considered in order to illustrate the need for more reliable long-term drag (meaning 'solar cycle') prediction techniques. Such techniques would make it possible to confidently plan dual-objective Shuttle flights, which maximize Shuttle cargo loadings and thus reduce costs. In describing the coupled mission concept, it is pointed out that by deploying one payload while retrieving or servicing another, the Space Transportation System can maximize the usefulness of the Shuttle and reduce the cost per customer. It is shown here that the proposed mission coupling LDEF (Long Duration Exposure Facility) with ST (Space Telescope) must be rejected since the Shuttle performance limitations prohibit deployment of the ST at even 315 n mi with a subsequent LDEF retrieval. If, however, it were possible to predict solar cycles, then, depending on the prediction, a mission of this type could be feasible.