A system model for the investigation of alternative energy strategies

The reported investigation provides an integrated mathematical dynamic model for the study of alternative developments of future energy systems with respect to the possibilities of their realization and the totality of their effects. Attention is given to questions related to the available reserves regarding the required materials, the possibility of material substitution, economic effects, effects on the environment, and technological developments. Conceivable conflicts between short-term and long-term solutions are pointed out. The considerations of the investigation are based on the division of the earth in ten regions proposed by Pestel and Mesarovic (1974), giving particular attention to Western Europe.