Geoeffective events through solar cycles

Extreme solar storms are well known in the historical databases. Since the modern era, it has been possible to associate clearly geomagnetic disturbances with solar events (flares, SEP, CMEs). In the recent solar cycles the geoeffective events (number and strength) are decreasing. As an example, in the 2002 maximum activity year, we present how many flares, and CMEs were geoeffective. Based on observations and simulations, we discuss on the size of sunspots and the field strength to get more energetic flares (> 10³² ergs) in the near future.